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Finance graduation project: how to choose a question the data can answer

A good finance question names the variable, the sample and the period, and you know where the data comes from before you start.

The short answer

A finance graduation project works when the question names the variable, the sample and the period, and you know in advance where the data will come from. Start from the data you can reach, not the title you liked, pick one design that fits your time, and state the limits of the result plainly.

Part of the topic
Diagram: spreadsheet, period window, one cell

By the tiswa editorial team, from the official sources listed at the end of this guide. How we write our guides

In week two you wrote a title you liked: “factors affecting Saudi stock prices”. You sent it to your supervisor and got the usual reply. Which factors? Which stocks? Which period? Where is the data? You opened your phone to find a site with prices and discovered that prices are the easy part, and the rest of what you need is scattered in places you do not know yet. That is where the real project begins.

How do you choose a finance graduation project question?

Write the question in one line containing four things: the variable you explain, the variable you think explains it, the sample and the period. “Is the debt-to-equity ratio related to profitability in listed companies in one sector over a stated period?” is a full question. “Debt and its effect” is half a title.

ElementWhat you writeRed flag
Dependent variableWhat you are trying to explainTwo outcomes in one question
Explanatory variableWhat you expect to matterNo data exists for it
SampleThe number of firms or people and their sectorMore than you can collect data for
PeriodSpecific years or eventsA period in which accounting rules changed
ToolA spreadsheet or statistics packageYou do not know how to use it
Checklist: variable, sample, period, tool

Students overlook the last row. If you cannot yet do descriptive statistics in a spreadsheet, read the Excel guide for students and the Excel charts guide before you decide on a design, because the tool sets what you can finish.

Which design suits a finance graduation project?

DesignThe ideaWhat it needs
Ratio analysisCompare a ratio across firms or yearsPublished financial statements and a spreadsheet
Event studyLook at a price change after a stated announcementThe announcement date and prices around it
SurveyAsk investors or students about financial behaviourA tested tool and enough replies
Case studyAnalyse one firm’s financial decisionPublished documents and permission if needed

An example, for illustration only: an event study might ask “did a company’s share price move after a dividend announcement?”, which needs the announcement date and prices in a short window around it. That is a method, not a result, and you should claim nothing about the Saudi market until you have read the numbers yourself.

Most students pick ratio analysis, and that is reasonable. But make yourself say what is new. Comparing the same ratios for the same firms over the same years repeats hundreds of earlier projects. Change the sector, the period or the question.

Where do you find data for a finance graduation project?

The Capital Market Authority publishes regulations, announcements and the prospectuses of companies and funds.1 A prospectus is dense with historical numbers and explains the business and its risks. For economic background, the General Authority for Statistics publishes national accounts, prices, trade and investment.2

  1. List your variables

    For each one write the source, the formula and the unit. If a variable has no source, drop it now.

  2. Pull data for five firms

    Do not assume you will find the rest until you try. Write down the problems: missing numbers, missing years.

  3. Fix your definitions

    Revenue, income and profit mean different things. Choose one definition and write it in the sheet.

  4. Keep the original and a copy

    Never edit the original file. Work on a copy and keep the original as downloaded.

  5. Show your supervisor the table

    Send it before you analyse. They may see that the sample is too small.

Five steps for collecting data

Historical prices for listed shares sit with the Saudi Exchange (Tadawul), so download them for five companies first. Then line up the announcement dates against the price dates, because a one-day error in a date can flip an event study.

Here is a sample twelve-week plan you can adjust. Weeks one and two for the question and sample, weeks three to five for collecting and cleaning data, weeks six to nine for analysis, weeks ten and eleven for writing, and the last for review. If data collection slips by three weeks the whole project is at risk, which is why you test with five companies in week one.

How many firms or participants do you need?

Your supervisor sets the number from the design, so do not hold to a figure from a post. A working rule is still useful: a result from ten firms is a story, not evidence for “affects”. Write “in our sample” in the conclusion, not “in the market”. Nobody punishes honesty, but they may punish a claim bigger than your data.

If your project is a survey, avoid collecting personal data you do not need, and ask your supervisor about your university’s policy. If you want to interview a professional, verify their licence with the regulator that licenses them. For lawyers, for instance, the Najiz platform lists licensed practitioners.3

What mistakes repeat in finance graduation projects?

The first is a period that contains one huge unusual event nobody mentions, so the result is credited to your variable when it came from the event. The second is comparing two firms from different sectors as if they matched. The third is copying tables from papers without understanding their formula. The fourth is leaving the conclusion to the last night.

The fifth is the most dangerous: analysis without a hypothesis. A coefficient appears and you explain it after the fact. Write the hypothesis before you run anything. For the proposal read the research proposal guide and the literature review guide, and look at the finance major guide to see where your project sits in the field.

How do you present the project to your supervisor and the committee?

Send one page: the question, the hypothesis, the sample, the source of each variable, the tool and a twelve-week timeline. In the viva give the answer first and the method second, not the other way round. The presentation tips help with that, and the graduation project ideas guide has a section for business and finance.

For printing and binding see the student discounts in Saudi Arabia, and browse the student discount index to see where you are asked to prove student status.

Questions

How do I choose a finance graduation project?

Start from data you can reach, then word a question naming the variable, sample and period. Show your supervisor three options before you commit to one.

Where can I get data for a finance graduation project?

From the prospectuses and announcements published by the Capital Market Authority, and from General Authority for Statistics data for economic background.[^1][^2]

Is ratio analysis enough for a graduation project?

It is enough if your question is new in sector, period or variable. A literal repeat of an old study adds nothing.

What sample size does a finance graduation project need?

Your supervisor decides it from the design. Avoid general conclusions from a handful of firms, and write “in our sample” in the conclusion.

Can a finance graduation project be a survey?

Yes, if your department accepts it. Use a tested instrument and avoid collecting personal data you do not need.

Sources

  1. Capital Market Authority (CMA): cma.gov.sa/en/Pages/default.aspx
  2. General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT): stats.gov.sa/en
  3. Najiz platform (Ministry of Justice): najiz.sa

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